Conf = NEWMAC State = CT
Nickname = Bears Coach = Mary HeneberryGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.5045166 home-field advantage = -0.60 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Western Connecticut Little East (12- 6, 82.2) 10- 9 223 H Bridgewater State MASCAC ( 8-11, 76.2) 14- 7 228 H Endicott Commonwealth (12- 8, 87.4) 6-15 302 H Merchant Marine Skyline (11- 3, 77.7) 16- 3 306 A Johnson & Wales Great Northea (14- 5, 79.6) 14- 6 309 H Hartford Commonwealth ( 8- 8, 75.7) 15- 3 316 H Babson NEWMAC (17- 3, 93.0) 10-13 323 H MIT NEWMAC (17- 5, 92.6) 5- 8 327 A Salve Regina NEWMAC (11- 7, 75.6) 15- 5 330 A Smith NEWMAC ( 9-10, 79.2) 15-10 404 H Springfield NEWMAC (15- 5, 89.6) 8-14 410 A Mount Holyoke NEWMAC ( 1-16, 66.2) 23- 1 413 H Emerson NEWMAC ( 4-10, 68.5) 24- 4 417 H Wellesley NEWMAC ( 3-13, 71.9) 23- 3 420 A Wheaton (MA) NEWMAC ( 9- 9, 79.5) 14- 9 424 A Clark NEWMAC ( 7- 9, 72.1) 19- 2 427 H Smith NEWMAC ( 9-10, 79.2) 11- 6 501 A Babson NEWMAC (17- 3, 93.0) 3- 7
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Western Connecticut 10- 9 1 2 -1.71 223 H Bridgewater State 14- 7 7 9 0.00 228 H Endicott 6-15 -9 -1 -- -5.75 302 H Merchant Marine 16- 3 13 8 0.00 306 A Johnson & Wales 14- 6 8 5 1.69 309 H Hartford 15- 3 12 10 0.00 316 H Babson 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.91 323 H MIT 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.48 327 A Salve Regina 15- 5 10 9 0.00 330 A Smith 15-10 5 5 -0.73 404 H Springfield 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.56 410 A Mount Holyoke 23- 1 22 18 0.00 413 H Emerson 24- 4 20 17 0.00 417 H Wellesley 23- 3 20 14 0.00 420 A Wheaton (MA) 14- 9 5 5 -0.40 424 A Clark 19- 2 17 12 0.00 427 H Smith 11- 6 5 6 -1.92 501 A Babson 3- 7 -4 -8 + 3.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Endicott 6-15 -9 -1 -- -5.75 404 H Springfield 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.56OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H Babson 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.91 323 H MIT 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.48 501 A Babson 3- 7 -4 -8 + 3.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 85.52 Power Rank................. 56 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 58.24 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 82 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6683 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 43 RPI Rating............... .6000 RPI Rank................... 41 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 76 Selection sum ........... 139 Selection Rank ............ 35 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -20. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 42 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -30. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 55 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0